IL-09 Democratic Primary — Turnout Analysis

IL-09 Democratic Primary — Turnout Analysis

124,896

Total Votes Cast

24.0%

District Turnout Rate

+0.1%

vs Model Expected

Regional Breakdown

Region	Votes	Turnout%	Expected	vs Model
Chicago (119p)	49,354	32.8%	45,223	+9.1%
Evanston (45p)	20,218	37.7%	17,056	+18.5%
Suburban Cook (177p)	41,924	18.9%	48,242	-13.1%
Lake County (31p)	4,941	15.2%	6,785	-27.2%
McHenry County (63p)	8,459	13.8%	7,527	+12.4%

Most Above Expected

Precinct	Region	Actual	Expected	Difference
Ward 49 Precinct 09	Chicago	691	95	▲596 (+627%)
Ward 46 Precinct 12	Chicago	755	120	▲635 (+529%)
Ward 48 Precinct 31	Chicago	491	81	▲410 (+506%)
Ward 48 Precinct 30	Chicago	493	85	▲408 (+480%)
Ward 49 Precinct 04	Chicago	706	137	▲569 (+415%)

Most Below Expected

Precinct	Region	Actual	Expected	Difference
Wheeling Precinct 40	Suburban Cook	7	370	▼363 (-98%)
Northfield Precinct 43	Suburban Cook	5	133	▼128 (-96%)
Evanston Ward 7 Precinct 3	Evanston	27	490	▼463 (-94%)
Wheeling Precinct 48	Suburban Cook	15	189	▼174 (-92%)
Ward 50 Precinct 18	Chicago	70	794	▼724 (-91%)